32 guides found

ChartsThe midterm curse: the president’s party gained House seats just 3 times in 92 yearsChartsDemocrats flipped 7 Senate seats. 6 were in states Trump won.Charts229,766 votes in three states decided the 2024 electionCharts312 electoral votes looked like a landslide. The popular vote gap was 1.5 points.ChartsA Wyoming vote carries 3.3× the Electoral College weight of a California voteCharts51 of 51: every state and D.C. moved toward Trump in 2024ChartsTrump swept all seven swing states. Only Arizona topped 5 points.ChartsRed and blue states ranked: only 8 of 51 were within 5 pointsCharts42 states never flipped. Just 9 decided four elections.ChartsYoung Americans are 15× likelier than seniors to get political news mainly from social mediaChartsJust 8% of Republicans trust the news media. Among Democrats it is 51%.ChartsFacebook still beats TikTok 2 to 1 as a news sourceAnswersDid Democrats win the House in 2026?AnswersWho will control the Senate in 2027?AnswersWhich states flipped in the 2026 midterms?AnswersWhen was Texas last blue?AnswersWhat are the 7 swing states?AnswersDoes the president’s party always lose seats in midterms?AnswersHow many electoral votes does it take to win?AnswersHow many electoral votes does each state have?AnswersWhen is the next presidential election?AnswersWhich Senate seats are up in 2028?AnswersWhat is the difference between called and certified results?AnswersWho won the 2024 popular vote?AnswersWhen does the new Congress start?AnswersHow can you tell if a state is red or blue?The White HouseThe road to the White House in 2028Border & immigrationImmigration and the 2028 electionEconomy & inflationReading the economy during an electionVoters & turnoutYoung voters: registration and turnoutAI & jobsAI, jobs and technology policyElection administrationUnderstanding U.S. election results
Latest headlines
NewsweekPete Hegseth Responds to 'Sham' Impeachment PushMother JonesUtah—Yes, Utah—Sends a Democrat to CongressNew York PostSonja Shaw concedes California superintendent race, says God ‘isn’t finished’The HillBooker set to hit the trail in South Carolina amid 2028 chatterThe GuardianGavin Newsom commutes more than 500 death sentences in CaliforniaNew York PostNithya Raman pays tribute to Karen Bass and thanks LA voters after winning race for mayorThe HillCentcom launches podcast amid Iran war backlashThe GuardianUS elections 2026 live: Democrats hold nearly 100 House seats more than Republicans as blue wave continues to growNew York PostKey group that helped Trump win in 2024 drove Dem’s historic blue waveBBC NewsCalifornia governor commutes death sentences for all 548 people on death rowCBS NewsTrump's lawyers argue appeal in "hush money" caseThe FederalistThe Wall Street Journal Pretends To Not Understand J.D. Vance Or IranNewsweekWho Is Gerald Heikes? Trump Wants Alaska Votes Given to Dan SullivanThe GuardianDemocratic socialist Nithya Raman wins Los Angeles mayoral race over incumbent Karen BassFox NewsDemocrats ‘divorced from voters’ as 5 states back citizen-only voting, bolstering GOP pushThe HillDeSantis takes swings at Ramaswamy for getting beat 'like a drum' in OhioCBS NewsHarmeet Dhillon, DOJ's controversial civil rights chief, resignsFox NewsHegseth demands $350B for military, fires back at Dem impeachment pushNewsweekChiefs Special Teams Coordinator Backs Harrison Butker Amid StrugglesABC NewsUS escalates economic campaign against Cuba and targets China-based suppliersThe FederalistTurns Out, Dangling Amnesty In Front Of Illegals Won’t Win Over Minorities To The Republican PartyPBS NewsNewsom says he will commute all 548 of California's death sentences to life without paroleCBS NewsNithya Raman ousts incumbent Karen Bass in LA mayor's race, CBS News projectsReasonTax Cuts Won and Lost in the MidtermsBBC NewsMelania Trump calls for lasting Ukraine truce as she hosts Russian and Ukrainian officialsVoxWhat the midterms mean for 2028Fox NewsDOJ launches criminal probe into Supreme Court leak that exposed ruling overturning Roe v WadePBS NewsTrump administration held talks with Iran on deporting Iranians during the war, court documents showNBC NewsTrump’s D.C.-area arch expected to be approved, but without sniper or drone plansWashington Times'JD, habibi.' Arabs celebrate El-Sayed's use of a term of affection in his victory speech
AI illustration of Kamala Harris and Donald Trump facing each other, with the U.S. Capitol behind them.

Presidential election2028The race for the White House

Explore election coverage

Illustration only · Does not identify 2028 nominees

The numbers everyone fights about

All the numbers →

Top stories

All news →

One story. Three headlines.

Same event, left to right. See what each side leads with, then judge for yourself.

Left-leaningGavin Newsom commutes more than 500 death sentences in CaliforniaThe Guardian Opens in a new tab
CenterCalifornia governor commutes death sentences for all 548 people on death rowBBC News Opens in a new tab
Right-leaningGavin Newsom lets all of California’s 548 death row inmates escape ultimate punishmentNew York Post Opens in a new tab
Left-leaningDemocratic socialist Nithya Raman wins Los Angeles mayoral race over incumbent Karen BassThe Guardian Opens in a new tab
Center

No headline from this side yet.

Right-leaningNithya Raman pays tribute to Karen Bass and thanks LA voters after winning race for mayorNew York Post Opens in a new tab
Left-leaningHarmeet Dhillon, DOJ's controversial civil rights chief, resignsCBS News Opens in a new tab
Center

No headline from this side yet.

Right-leaningHarmeet Dhillon resigns as top DOJ civil rights officialNew York Post Opens in a new tab
AI illustration of the U.S. Capitol.

2026 midterm results

Power shift: Democrats take the House and flip 7 Senate seats

Senate
54–44
House
242–151
Governors
28–20

The 2028 race in real numbers

What markets are pricing for 2028

DemocratsRepublicans
67.5%31.0%
  1. Jon Ossoff20%Kalshi 23%
  2. JD Vance19%
  3. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%Kalshi 10%
  4. Marco Rubio9%Kalshi 11%
  5. Gavin Newsom7%Kalshi 8%
  6. Ron DeSantis5%Kalshi 6%

Polymarket prices, with Kalshi where available. These are trader prices, not a forecast and not a betting tip. We do not link to either market.

Head-to-head polls

Gavin NewsomJD Vance
43.6%40.2%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezJD Vance
42.1%41.6%
Pete ButtigiegJD Vance
41.1%38.3%

ElectionsUSA polling average, as of Nov 5, 2026.

Who Americans are looking up

  1. Jon Ossoff1,231,483
  2. Gavin Newsom510,462
  3. JD Vance458,071
  4. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez324,495
  5. Marco Rubio268,769
  6. Donald Trump Jr.265,044

English Wikipedia page views in the past 30 days. Attention, not approval.

All polls and markets →
43.6%

Gavin Newsom

40.2%

JD Vance

ElectionsUSA ↗ · Hypothetical matchup · 7 weighted polls · Nov 5, 2026

Alabama: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Alaska: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Arizona: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Colorado: Harris, statewide winner in 2024Florida: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Georgia: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Indiana: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Kansas: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Maine: Harris, statewide winner in 2024 · Maine: 3 Harris / 1 Trump. Nebraska: 1 Harris / 4 Trump. Statewide winners determine shading.Massachusetts: Harris, statewide winner in 2024Minnesota: Harris, statewide winner in 2024New Jersey: Harris, statewide winner in 2024North Carolina: Trump, statewide winner in 2024North Dakota: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Oklahoma: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Pennsylvania: Trump, statewide winner in 2024South Dakota: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Texas: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Wyoming: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Connecticut: Harris, statewide winner in 2024Missouri: Trump, statewide winner in 2024West Virginia: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Illinois: Harris, statewide winner in 2024New Mexico: Harris, statewide winner in 2024Arkansas: Trump, statewide winner in 2024California: Harris, statewide winner in 2024Delaware: Harris, statewide winner in 2024District of Columbia: Harris, statewide winner in 2024Hawaii: Harris, statewide winner in 2024Iowa: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Kentucky: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Maryland: Harris, statewide winner in 2024Michigan: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Mississippi: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Montana: Trump, statewide winner in 2024New Hampshire: Harris, statewide winner in 2024New York: Harris, statewide winner in 2024Ohio: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Oregon: Harris, statewide winner in 2024Tennessee: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Utah: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Virginia: Harris, statewide winner in 2024Washington: Harris, statewide winner in 2024Wisconsin: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Nebraska: Trump, statewide winner in 2024 · Maine: 3 Harris / 1 Trump. Nebraska: 1 Harris / 4 Trump. Statewide winners determine shading.South Carolina: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Idaho: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Nevada: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Vermont: Harris, statewide winner in 2024Louisiana: Trump, statewide winner in 2024Rhode Island: Harris, statewide winner in 2024
D226
R312
Total538

270 to win

National Archives ↗ · Historical result, not a 2028 forecast

National Archives ↗ · 2024 & 2028 allocation

ElectionsUSA · Nov 5, 2026

The charts both parties will argue about

Charts →

Go deeper